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And, one last comment about Dean ... computer forecasts of the storm have been quite good, and remarkably consistent. Ever since the middle of last week, most of them were indicating a patch fairly far to the south, a path that would spare the U.S. a direct hit. However, there was one outlier among the models. There was one computer model that insisted that the storm was coming farther north. That outlier was the GFDL which is run in Princeton, N.J., and is considered by many forecasters, including those at the National Hurricane Center, to be one of the most, if not the most, reliable hurricane model that we have. It is interesting to note that at this point, it looks like it is going to turn out to be one of the worst computer models for this particular hurricane. It is also interesting to note that this model was developed at the same place that many of the "super climate" models were developed, which of course are the basis for most of the concern about carbon-dioxide induced global warming and climate change.
The GFDL sounds like the Global Warming equivalent of The Late Great Planet Earth.
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